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Volume: the fuel of a move

Lesson 8 of 23 in the course “Technical Analysis”. Free, with animations and a quiz.

How many people are in

Volume is how many coins or shares changed hands during a candle. In TradingView it’s the bars under the chart. Price shows where it went, volume shows how many people are behind it. Dow already wrote that volume should confirm the trend: in a healthy rise volume grows on green candles and drops on pullbacks.

A breakout without volume is empty

A real breakout usually comes on volume well above average: lots of people agreed the price is different now. A breakout on quiet volume often turns out to be a trap, and price comes back. It’s the most useful volume check in practice: before buying a breakout, glance at the bar under the candle.

The climax

Sometimes at the end of a long fall a candle shows up with record volume and a long lower wick. That’s a selling climax: everyone afraid sold at once, and big buyers took it all. Richard Wyckoff called it SC. If price later tests that low on quiet volume, sellers have run out.

A rise running out of breath

Price makes new highs while volume shrinks each time. So there are fewer buyers and the rise rests on the last ones. It’s not a sell signal yet, but a reason to tighten the stop and not open new buys at the highs. Now in the trainer you’ll find which breakout volume confirmed and which it didn’t.

Check yourself

  1. Price broke a level, but volume on the breakout candle is below average. What should you think?
    Correct answer: The breakout is doubtful: few participants, maybe a trap. Volume shows how many people agreed with the new price. A quiet breakout is easy to undo, so it’s better to wait for a retest or confirmation.
  2. After a long fall: a candle with record volume and a long lower wick. What did Wyckoff call it?
    Correct answer: A selling climax (SC). An SC is when panic pours out at once and big buyers absorb the selling. It’s often the start of a bottom, confirmed by a quiet retest.
  3. Three new highs in a row, each on less volume. What’s sensible?
    Correct answer: Tighten the stop and not buy at the highs. Falling volume on new highs is a sign of fatigue, not a reversal. It’s sensible to protect profit and wait for a structure break.

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