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Why read a chart

Lesson 1 of 23 in the course “Technical Analysis”. Free, with animations and a quiz.

Meet Leo

Leo is 21, a student saving for a laptop. Every day someone in his feed shouts “breakout” or “wave three” and draws arrows up. Leo doesn’t want to take it on faith, he wants to check the picture himself. That’s what this course is for: by the end you’ll draw levels, Fibonacci and waves yourself and see which chart is honest and which is a stretch.

What it all rests on

Technical analysis means reading price and volume charts to find good spots for a trade. It rests on three ideas from Charles Dow’s theory, laid out by John Murphy in his classic book. One: all news is already in the price. Two: price moves in trends. Three: people act alike in similar situations, so chart pictures repeat.

No illusions

Technical analysis doesn’t guess the future. It shows where the odds are on your side and where you’re risking for nothing. Pros are wrong a lot, but they win because a small stop and a big target are decided in advance. That’s why every picture in this course ends with a question: where’s the entry, the stop and the target.

What’s next

Eight levels, from one candle to a full trade plan. Many lessons end with a trainer: you draw on the chart yourself, and it checks and explains like a mentor. The trainers stay open after the course: come back any time to train your eye or test your strategy.

Check yourself

  1. What does “price reflects everything” mean?
    Correct answer: News and expectations are already in the price, so the chart shows the result. Dow’s idea: everything traders know has already shaped their trades, and so the price. That’s why a technician looks at the result: the chart.
  2. How do pros make money if they’re often wrong?
    Correct answer: They decide in advance on a small stop and a target several times bigger. If the stop is a third of the target, even 4 winners out of 10 grow the account. The maths of risk matters more than the hit rate.
  3. Why do chart pictures repeat?
    Correct answer: People in similar situations feel similar fear and greed. Patterns repeat not exactly but alike, because the same emotions are behind them. That makes them useful, but only as odds.

The candle and the timeframe →