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Funding, open interest and the crowd

Lesson 4 of 12 in the course “Analytics”. Free, with animations and a quiz.

Words first: spot and futures

Spot: you buy the coin itself, it is yours, and there is no liquidation. Futures: a contract on the coin's price, you never get the coin. On futures you can open a long, a bet that price goes up, or a short, a bet that it goes down. Leverage lets you open a position bigger than your own money, and margin is your deposit behind it. A perpetual future, or perp, has no end date.

Funding: the price of leverage

Funding is a payment between longs and shorts on perps, usually every 8 hours. It keeps the futures price close to the spot price. Funding positive: longs pay shorts, so the crowd is long. Negative: shorts pay longs. In a calm market it often sits near +0.01% per 8 hours: that is the base rate on many exchanges. High funding on almost every exchange means the skew is market-wide.

What it costs in money

Funding is charged on the position size, not on your margin. For example: a $1,000 position at +0.01% funding. The long pays shorts $1,000 × 0.01% = $0.10 per 8 hours. At +0.1% it is already $1 per period, and there are three periods a day: $3 a day. Small change? With leverage the position is big, and over a week it eats a visible chunk of margin. Plus the trading fee itself, for example 0.02%, another $0.20.

Open interest: the fuel

Open interest (OI) is the total of all open futures positions: how much money is sitting in contracts right now. Always read it next to price. Price ↑ and OI ↑: new money is joining the rise, a confirmation. Price ↓ and OI ↑: positions are piling up against the move. Price ↑ and OI ↓: the rise comes from shorts closing. Price ↓ and OI ↓: longs are closing and leverage is leaving.

The crowd vs. the big players

Example from the picture: the Binance exchange shows two long/short ratios. The crowd is counted by accounts: 72% long, one person equals one vote. Top traders are counted by money: they are 47% long. The crowd is long while the big players are not: a reason to be careful. Takers are traders who buy or sell instantly at market price. 56% buys over 24 hours means buyers are pressing.

The pressure index

To avoid juggling four numbers, they get rolled into one pressure index from 0 to 100. It combines funding, OI growth over 24 hours, crowd skew and the takers' buy share. The raw data comes from CoinGlass, a service that collects exchange stats. The higher the number, the more stretched leverage is. It does not tell you where price goes: it is about the risk of a sharp move, not its direction.

Example: reading it all together

Example: BTC +6% in a day, funding +0.06%, OI +18% over 24 hours, 72% of accounts long, takers 58% buys, index 81. The rise runs on leverage. Longs pay 6 times the normal rate: 0.06% / 0.01% = 6. On a $10,000 position that is $10,000 × 0.06% = $6 every 8 hours. It is not a short signal: the rise can go on. But if price pulls back, many longs will have to close at a loss.

Hyperliquid and CryptoQuant

Hyperliquid is a futures exchange where every position is recorded on the blockchain, that is, on-chain. So big positions there are visible to everyone: say, a $42M BTC long (an illustrative example). Funding there is paid every hour: multiply by 8 to compare with 8-hour funding. Another useful signal comes from the on-chain analytics service CryptoQuant: the taker buy/sell ratio. 1.12 means market buys exceed market sells by 12%.

Common mistakes

Trap number one: shorting just because funding is high. An overheated market can keep rising for a long time. Other mistakes: reading the pressure index as a forecast, looking at OI without price next to it, comparing hourly funding with 8-hour funding, trusting one metric. The picture is stronger when several agree. Your move: write down today's funding, OI and pressure index, and compare what changed in a week.

Check yourself

  1. What does this say about the market?
    Correct answer: The rise runs on leverage: longs pay 8 times the norm. Positive funding means longs pay shorts: 0.08% / 0.01% = 8 times the norm. OI rising with price means new leveraged money is entering the rally. That is tension: if price turns, many longs will have to close. But on its own it is not a forecast.
  2. How do you read this?
    Correct answer: Positions are piling up against the move. Rising OI means new positions are opening, and it is happening on a drop: some add shorts, others try to catch the bottom with leveraged longs. That leverage will have to close later, so the next move can be sharp either way.
  3. What do these numbers show?
    Correct answer: The crowd and big money look in different directions. The crowd is counted by people, top traders by money. 75% vs 45%: most small accounts expect a rise, big money does not. That is a reason to be careful and check other metrics, not a guaranteed reversal.
  4. What follows from this?
    Correct answer: Leverage is very stretched, a sharp move is more likely. The index measures tension, not direction. 85 means the market is packed with leveraged positions: any push can trigger a chain of liquidations. Which way, the index does not say.

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